Recent developments in the theory of orographic cyclogenesis : impact of orographic modifications on statistical properties

Summary Recent developments in the normal mode theory of lee cyclogenesis are presented. The topographic modifications of the most unstable eigenmode are computed in the most general case of primitive equations and isolated topography. The basic state about which linearization is performed is a midlatitude jet with maximum speed at tropopause level. The orographic modification consists in a pressure dipole scaling on the Rossby deformation radius already found in previous theoretical and numerical studies. The modifications of the statistical properties introduced by topography on the nonlinear feedback between zonal wind and transient waves are determined using a simple quasi-geostrophic two-layer model. Systematic differences are found to be consistent with the predictions of linear theories. A brief discussion on the limits of the linear theory is also included